Big Three Dominance

Source: Statista

A lurking knee injury, a global health crisis and a wayward tennis ball fired in frustration – that’s what it took to end one of the most remarkable streaks in tennis history at the 2020 US Open. Following Novak Djokovic’s shock default for hitting a lineswomen, the US Open semifinals marked the first time since 2004 that neither of the “Big Three”, i.e. Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic, featured in the round of the last four at one of tennis’ biggest occasions. Back then, three Argentinians (David Nalbandian, Gastón Gaudio and Guillermo Coria) and one Englishman (Tim Henman) had reached the semifinal of the French Open and little did we know that it marked the dawn of a new era in men’s professional tennis.

In the end, Dominic Thiem emerged victorious from last year’s US Open, putting an end to a remarkable streak that saw Djokovic, Nadal and Federer win 13 consecutive Grand Slam titles between them, after Stan Wawrinka had become the last player to break through their dominance in 2016. Things quickly returned to “normal” after Thiem’s maiden Grand Slam title, however, as Novak Djokovic came back to win the first three majors of 2021 before losing the US Open final to Daniil Medvedev.

As the following chart illustrates, the Big Three won 60 of the past 75 Grand Slam tournaments, with Andy Murray and Stan Wawrinka the only other players to notch multiple (i.e. three) wins during the triumvirate’s decade-spanning reign over tennis’ most prestigious events. With Federer, Nadal and Djokovic all tied at 20 Grand Slam titles, Djokovic, the youngest of the three at 34, looks most likely to end up with the most titles of any male player when the “Age of the Big Three” eventually ends.

Big Three Dominance

Chasing Roger Federer

Source: Statista

After beating Dominic Thiem in the Australian Open final, Novak Djokovic now has 17 major titles to his name, bringing him one step closer to matching Roger Federer’s Grand Slam record. Following Stan Wawrinka’s surprise win at the US Open in 2016, the “Big Three”, i.e. Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer, kept 13 consecutive Grand Slam titles among themselves, with Nadal and Djokovic each winning five and Federer lifting three major trophies since January 2017.

Among tennis fans, the debate as to who should be considered the GOAT (greatest of all time), has been raging for years. While Federer’s proponents like to point towards his Grand Slam record and his overall grace on and off the court, team Nadal argues that Federer cannot be considered better than Nadal (and Djokovic for that matter) when he has a losing record against him.

While it’s tough to argue against either of the three considering their achievements, Nadal matching or eclipsing Federer’s Grand Slam tally would certainly tilt the debate in his favor. As the following chart shows, Novak Djokovic is also still in the running for the Grand Slam record. The youngest of the three at 32, Djokovic has 17 Grand Slam titles to his name. Should Federer and Nadal retire before him, he could well end up having the last laugh.

Roger Federer Tennis Infographic