Goldman Sachs Research have published the sixth edition of their book “World Cup and Economics” which includes “economic insight, tenuous correlations and footballing views” for public use “as a guide and companion through the upcoming competition.”

They make some bold claims after crunching 200,000 probability trees and 1 million simulations, specifically:

“England meets Germany in the quarters, where Germany wins; and Germany meets Brazil in the final, and Brazil prevails.”

The full report can be found here, in the interim there is this brief video: