Is Week One Form For Rookie Quarterbacks Reliable?

Source: Statista

This season, two rookie quarterbacks made their debut in week one – Carson Wentz (Philadelphia Eagles) and Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys). Wentz made a great start, being widely praised for his 101 rated game which included two touchdowns and a near 60 percent pass rate. The question many will be asking though, especially those with a fantasy team, is if this form can be carried into week two.

Statista has taken a look back over the last five NFL seasons to see to what extent week one form is a reliable marker for the next game for rookie quarterbacks. The results are mixed. Brandon Weeden, for example, had a nightmare debut for the Browns in 2012 with a catastrophic 5.1 rating. While things could hardly get worse in week two, he managed to bounce back in a big way to take home a 114.9 in his next game.

Over this time period, the most consistent start to a debut season belongs to Andy Dalton who back in 2011 followed his week one 102.4 with an equally solid 107. Overall though, it would appear to be a bit of a gamble to rely on any week one form being carried over into the next.

This chart looks back at all rookie quarterbacks since 2011 and compares their week one and two performances.

Infographic: Is Week One Form For Rookie Quarterbacks Reliable? | Statista
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